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Confident Investing Scenario 1:
Setting Your Investing Goals
This page presents two methods of setting your
investing goals. The first method is followed by most individual investors
today when working with a financial advisor. You are essentially told what
your goals can be. The second method is one available to individuals who are
confident in their investing abilities and feel empowered to define goals that
they really want to achieve. The second method is one that you will work with
in the NAOI Study Courses.
Goal Creation Method One -
You Are Told What Your Goals Can Be
Typically when you go to an
investment
advisor to set up a financial plan they will ask you about your goals, take a look at your current
financial situation and assess your tolerance for risk. A set of investments will
then be recommended that correspond to your
risk tolerance level and time horizon. The
"expected return" of the portfolio is
derived from
historical data for the asset classes recommended. In other words, once your asset
class recommendations have been set, you are essentially "told" what
your financial
goals can be.
The following calculator illustrates a process
that tells you what your investing goals can be given an expected portfolio
return rate. Let us suppose that your advisor has given you an asset
allocation recommendation that history tells us has returned an average of 8%
over the past 20 years. Plug that number into the first column of the table
and then enter the following data in the remaining fields: the
initial amount you have to invest, the amount you can contribute on a monthly
basis, the number of years until you will withdraw money and your tax bracket
(leave at zero for retirement goals). When you click the
"Calc" button the "Expected $ Total" will show your
expected portfolio value at the specified future point. In other words, you
are not setting goals you really want to meet. They are being set for you. Try
various scenarios.
Note 1:
Enter percentages as
whole numbers - e.g. for 6% just enter 6.
Note 2: DO NOT enter commas or decimal points in your numbers - e.g. for one
thousand enter 1000
Note 3: All figures are estimates only
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| Goal
Creation Method Two - You Are In Control
The NAOI turns this planning process around. We
believe that instead of historical return rates dictating your goals,
YOU should set the goals that you really want to attain.
This process is illustrated by the calculator below.
Using this calculator YOU set the goal amount that you want to achieve -
simply enter your target dollar amount in the first column. Fill in the
other data as you did in the calculator above. This calculator then tells you the annual return needed to meet your goal.
With this number in hand you can begin designing a portfolio that
enables you to achieve a goal that gets you excited! It is one of the purposes of
the NAOI Study Courses to enable you to meet the "% Return Required"
number
shown in the rightmost column of the calculator.
This number will most likely be
higher than market averages - so you will need to apply knowledge, time
and effort to reach it. But, the process is now under your direct
control.
Refer to the notes
above the first calculator.
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| Segmenting Your Portfolio
To Achieve Goals You Really Want
The NAOI portfolio planning process gives
you the potential to significantly beat market averages by dividing your portfolio
into an "Active Segment" and a
"Passive Segment". In the Passive Segment are your "buy and
hold" investments probably consisting of mutual
funds, bonds, and cash equivalents. The Active Segment, on the other hand, will contain individual stocks
that you will actively manage. (Note that there is a difference between
active management and active trading - a difference made quite clear in
the NAOI Study Courses).
With a segmented portfolio the
expected return of your Passive Segment is based on historical return data in much the
same manner as the traditional methods of financial planning mentioned
above. Your Active Segment return, however, is based on how much time and effort you
dedicate to education and to the investing process. Use the following
calculator to get a better feel for this approach.
Portfolio Segmentation
Example:
Let's assume that from the above
calculator you determine that the "% Return Required" to meet
a goal you really want is
17%. Let's also assume that you have developed a passive portfolio segment
with an expected return of 12%. Now, and this is key, let's assume that
you are willing to actively manage 20% of your portfolio. Enter these
numbers into the following calculator. Your entries are 17, 12 and 20 in
that order. Then click the Calculate button.
Enter percentages as
whole numbers. e.g. for 7% just enter 7 |
| Using our example numbers you will see that you
need an annual return of 37% from the Active Segment of the portfolio to reach your
overall investing goal. Is such a return feasible? No, not if you are just buying and
holding investments. It may be possible, however,
if you dedicate time and effort required to complete an NAOI Study Course and
become actively involved in trading and monitoring your Active
Segment. And remember,
under this scenario 80% of your portfolio is still in a
"buy and hold" segment as recommended by traditional
financial planning methods. You are only actively managing 20% of
the total. Play with the numbers in the calculator and get a feel
for various scenarios.
Factoring In Your
Involvement
Hopefully from the above calculators
you can see the unique approach that the NAOI Study Courses take. In typical financial
planning the only way to achieve higher returns is to assume higher
risks. The NAOI believes that
higher returns can also be achieved through education and time
devoted to the investing process. In other
words, we believe that you CAN directly influence your total portfolio returns
by learning how to invest and participating in the investing
process. You CAN achieve higher returns without a corresponding
higher risk!
Potential - Yes,
Guarantees - No
Remember, we can make no
guarantees related to how effective your investing activities will be.
Simply "putting in the time" will not automatically result in increased
returns. Our goal is to give you the knowledge and tools to
maximize the potential of your being able to achieve higher-than-market returns.
In investing, as in life, there are no guarantees.
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